Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 270.158467 306.106027 346.396536 395.157652 452.913935 519.565230 602.913872
2024-10-27 206.256428 249.857784 303.124419 373.904527 466.890963 586.908311 756.938373
2024-11-03 185.654697 235.413900 299.953162 391.664672 521.800270 704.960002 992.048652
2024-11-10 172.434519 226.921772 301.162175 412.807641 582.186854 839.819262 1283.546606
2024-11-17 156.134969 211.397672 289.619728 412.634697 609.630464 929.227699 1526.180275
2024-11-24 140.153472 194.093107 272.808159 401.188720 616.206842 984.667415 1723.487255
2024-12-01 127.227412 179.685567 258.311466 390.759060 621.749434 1038.037084 1930.708480
2024-12-08 121.174222 174.826141 257.626200 402.195459 666.094467 1170.086038 2340.265341
2024-12-15 113.889613 167.266643 251.689606 403.658691 692.231132 1272.306253 2720.186372
2024-12-22 105.724479 157.540978 241.159470 395.530447 698.535620 1334.876503 3027.314331
2024-12-29 100.043787 151.313312 235.785223 395.898233 721.377764 1437.879138 3481.923241
2025-01-05 93.590006 143.278805 226.548602 387.856980 725.508832 1499.154713 3845.319701
2025-01-12 88.744606 137.741016 221.454101 387.730648 747.840409 1612.932434 4438.494487
2025-01-19 81.486781 127.598939 207.374294 368.432189 725.145452 1609.599084 4648.870299
2025-01-26 80.074323 127.433609 211.271250 385.729621 788.748599 1850.294766 5881.691595
2025-02-02 79.133559 127.993436 216.512064 406.478371 864.893042 2152.282991 7611.972006
2025-02-09 75.681987 123.768194 212.275193 406.307713 889.076002 2308.500792 8842.404440
2025-02-16 71.253810 117.462023 203.497798 395.082148 882.676305 2366.584580 9644.151208
2025-02-23 67.297083 111.786518 195.537570 384.851824 877.346326 2427.707618 10530.947929
2025-03-02 65.906896 110.811890 196.843898 396.069566 933.185971 2721.407223 13143.988360
2025-03-09 63.615873 107.974619 194.136839 397.504704 961.649436 2927.474064 15491.768530
2025-03-16 60.589309 103.544578 187.819988 389.532184 961.008673 3021.712006 17166.991888
2025-03-23 58.540673 100.891615 185.015582 389.892942 985.898784 3230.760822 20154.995729